Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.002849 0.003058 0.003285 0.003551 0.003857 0.004201 0.004620
2024-10-06 0.002600 0.002893 0.003233 0.003661 0.004199 0.004867 0.005787
2024-10-13 0.002363 0.002695 0.003096 0.003631 0.004350 0.005322 0.006819
2024-10-20 0.002134 0.002472 0.002894 0.003477 0.004299 0.005484 0.007483
2024-10-27 0.002010 0.002364 0.002818 0.003470 0.004436 0.005929 0.008730
2024-11-03 0.001824 0.002159 0.002594 0.003229 0.004192 0.005729 0.008773
2024-11-10 0.001764 0.002112 0.002577 0.003276 0.004384 0.006273 0.010476
2024-11-17 0.001721 0.002085 0.002581 0.003351 0.004629 0.006971 0.012951
2024-11-24 0.001652 0.002017 0.002521 0.003320 0.004690 0.007335 0.014877
2024-12-01 0.001624 0.002003 0.002537 0.003409 0.004971 0.008232 0.019388
2024-12-08 0.001571 0.001950 0.002491 0.003392 0.005055 0.008721 0.023228
2024-12-15 0.001509 0.001881 0.002416 0.003318 0.005018 0.008910 0.026125
2024-12-22 0.001486 0.001871 0.002435 0.003413 0.005352 0.010245 0.040526
2024-12-29 0.001463 0.001858 0.002450 0.003506 0.005705 0.011885 0.075462
2025-01-05 0.001415 0.001807 0.002399 0.003474 0.005781 0.012716 0.126447
2025-01-12 0.001348 0.001723 0.002292 0.003329 0.005573 0.012442 0.144853
2025-01-19 0.001313 0.001687 0.002260 0.003322 0.005690 0.013496 0.417415
2025-01-26 0.001238 0.001587 0.002119 0.003098 0.005252 0.012112 0.217496
2025-02-02 0.001219 0.001572 0.002117 0.003141 0.005478 0.013655 8.920947
2025-02-09 0.001207 0.001566 0.002130 0.003211 0.005789 0.015935 NaN
2025-02-16 0.001178 0.001533 0.002094 0.003182 0.005835 0.016950 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001169 0.001532 0.002112 0.003264 0.006207 0.020471 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001145 0.001505 0.002084 0.003249 0.006293 0.022295 NaN